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Momentum
Rate of change scales by the old close, so as to represent the increase as a fraction, "Momentum" in general refers to prices continuing to trend. The momentum and ROC indicators show that by remaining positive while an uptrend is sustained, or negative while a downtrend is sustained. A crossing up through zero may be used as a signal to buy, or a crossing down through zero as a signal to sell. How high (or how low when negative) the indicators get shows how strong the trend is. The way momentum shows an absolute change means it shows for instance a $3 rise over 20 days, whereas ROC might show that as 0.25 for a 25% rise over the same period. One can choose between looking at a move in dollar terms or proportional terms. The zero crossings are the same in each, of course, but the highs or lows showing strength are on the respective different bases. Momentum is the change in an N-day simple moving average (SMA) between yesterday and today, with a scale factor N. This is the slope or steepness of the SMA line, like a derivative. This relationship is not much discussed generally, but it's of interest in understanding the signals from the indicator. When momentum crosses up through zero it corresponds to a trough in the SMA, and when it crosses down through zero it's a peak. How high (or low) momentum gets represents how steeply the SMA is rising (or falling).
February 26, 2007
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© Copyright 2005 Ricky Schmidt |